This will resolve to 'yes' if A) we experience a solar storm AND B) the radiation knocks out a power grid anywhere in the world. I'll need to see sufficient evidence of B to be certain it wasn't something related to human error or coincidence. The best evidence would be _several_ areas going offline simultaneously.

This will resolve positively if the House Speaker is a Republican on February 1, 2023. In unclear cases, this market will resolve the same way as the corresponding Metaculus market https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5814/2022-us-house-midterm-election/.

#politics #USCongress #USA

Punxsutawney Phil is the name of the Groundhog from Groundhog's day. Every year they bring him out, and legend is if he "see his shadow", then winter will continue for six more weeks.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Groundhog_Day

So, when the men in fancy hats bring him out in February, will the little critter "see his shadow" (according to his handlers), or not?

#fun

From Vox Future Perfect’s predictions for 2022: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22824620/predicting-midterms-covid-roe-wade-oscars-2022

Resolved according to Vox’s judgment, as given through future posts.

This market will resolve to yes if shares of Stripe are available for purchase on Nasdaq, the New York Stock Exchange, or any other major stock exchange, at any time on or before December 31st, 2022.

Jan 13, 10:22pm: #stocks

Jan 13, 10:24pm: #IPO

From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest 

Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

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